Misinformation

We are in epistemologically challenging times. 

Rand And Rand  put together a guide to searching for the truth in the fog of misinformation 

Health: gut feelings...

Healthy microbiome  can have a profound impact on our health including resistance to viral infections.

Sauerkraut sandwiches are yummy so there are no excuses.

Everything is broken

Some musings about how it happened

Logical fallacies and rhetoric

from high school debate guides.  With links to deeper discussions and studies.  In these epistemologically challenging times, identifying and refuting fallacious arguments is important though not sufficient.

But, 

pointing out a logical fallacy is a way of removing an argument from the debate rather than just weakening it. 

US Oligarchy

Kind of obvious on the ground, but there are some excellent quantifications in 

the study underlying this BBC article

precarity ... is rooted not in inequality, but in a depleted public sector, in a public authority that has abandoned the public and increasingly become a vehicle for predatory capitalism.

Why cyber security is not possible

Quinn Norton

Elites and class dominance

Revolt of the Elites

From 1994 and still relevant today.

The Archetypical Cycle of Internal Order and Disorder | LinkedIn

The Archetypical Cycle of Internal Order and Disorder | LinkedIn

class and power struggles

One timeless and universal truth that I saw went back as far as I studied history, since before Confucius around 500 BC, is that those societies that draw on the widest range of people and give them responsibilities based on their merits rather than privileges are the most sustainably successful because they find the best talent to do their jobs well, they have diversity of perspectives, and they are perceived as the most fair, which fosters social stability

Non annotated lists curated by John Henry

Econ reading list

From John Henry, brilliant scholar.

More:

history of economic thought

There’s yet more but not enough time to read it all.

I’m not an amateur crastinator...

Farnam street on the differences between amateurs and professionals 

Learning

Learning is valuable. It’s often difficult though, for many reasons.  As I’m learning to play guitar I find my brain is ahead of my fingers... the work/practice/“reps” just can’t be shirked 

From the Farnham Street blog

How To Speak by Patrick Winston - YouTube

It's important to be able to communicate.  There is a whole field, actually, multiple fields (rhetoric, e.g.) which study communication.   If you want to share information, or persuade, you have to be able to send a message that is comprehended...



How To Speak by Patrick Winston - YouTube:



Summary (from comments to the YouTube)



Start

1. Do not start a talk with a joke. [thank collaborators etc but save the joke for the end]
2. Promise - Tell them what they are gonna learn at the end of your talk. 
3. Cycle – make your idea repeated many times in order to be completely clear for everyone. 
4. Make a “Fence” around your idea so that it can be distinguished from someone else’s idea. 
5. Verbal punctuation – sum up information within your talk some times to make listeners get back on track. 
6. Ask an intriguing question

Place and Time

1. Best time for having a lecture is 11 am.
   (not too early and not after lunch) 
2. The place should be well lit. 
3. The place should be seen and checked before the lecture. 
4. The place should be at least half full.  Choose venue according to the amount of listeners. 

 Tools
For teaching.

Chalk Board, white board, or projector – it’s got graphics, speed, target.

Watch your hands! Don’t hold them behind your back, it’s better to keep them straight and use for pointing at the board.

Props – use them in order to make your ideas visual.
Visual perception is the most effective way to interact with listeners.



For a Job Talk. Exposing, Slides

1. Don’t put too many words on a slide. Slides should just reflect what you’re saying, not the other way around. Pictures attract attention and people get invested in finding out the explanation.
2. Make slide as easy as you can – no title, no distracting pictures, frames, points and so on. 
3. Do not use a laser pointer – you lose eye contact with the audience. Instead you can make the arrows just upon a slide. 

 Informing

 Show your listeners that your stuff is cool and interesting.
You have to be able to:

-show your vision of that problem

-show that you’ve done particular things (by steps)

All of that should be done real quick in no more than 5 min.
Persuade your listeners you’re not a rookie (Prof. Winston contrived to do that from the very first seconds of his talk)



Getting Famous
If you want to your ideas be remembered you’ve got to have the "5 S"

- Symbols associate with your ideas (visual perception is the best way to attract attention)

- Slogan (describing your idea)

- Surprise (common fallacy that is no longer true, for instance, just after you’ve told about it)

- Salient Idea (not necessarily important but the one that sticks out)

- Story (how you did it, how it works…)



How to End

Don’t put collaborators at the end, do that at the beginning.

• Taking Questions is the worst way to end a talk. 
• It’s good to end with a Contribution slide – to sum up everything you’ve told with your OWN decision. 
• At the very end you could tell a joke since people then will leave the event feeling fun and thus keep a good memory of your talk. 
• "Thank you (for listening)" isn’t good ending, it’s trite at least. 
• You can end with a quote of a prominent person (my own knowledge), 
• or with a salute to people (how much you valued the time being here, the people over here..., “I’d like to get back, it was fun!”  

Unconditional positive regard

Treat people with a positive view.  Even if they do bad things, act as though they are good humans who are trying their best.

Carl Rogers promotes empathy and compassion.

new view of compassion

Although it is important to distinguish acceptance of the person from acceptance of the actions 

The marketing flywheel

I’m past this but if I were young and ambitious I would take the flywheel concept to heart and build sustaining systems.

Policing in America

What has gone so horribly wrong and can the situation be repaired?

perhaps policies and training?

Evidence and data  often lose out to political considerations.

Crime has been falling but incarceration and frankly brutality are increasing.

Taibbi has some thoughts.

the Marshall project  curates articles on criminal “justice”.  Radley Balko has been on the beat for a decade and has great reporting and insights.  His blog, The Agitator, seems to be gone but he writes prolifically.

I’m saddened to see the devolution of so many institutions.

Health care

Legal system 

Education 

Postal service 

Politics in the era of citizens United (though that just codified existing practice...)

Privatization of public goods everywhere

Winner take all

Some thoughts on scientific theory

epistemology

Ultimately I find this link a bit empty but it did stimulate my thinking

Why did solar power get so cheap so fast?

solar is now much less expensive than forecasted 10 years ago.  Less than half.  And continuing to decline.

No Alternative to Sustainable Agriculture: How Community-Supported Farms Show the Way to Food Security in an Uncertain World | naked capitalism

No Alternative to Sustainable Agriculture: How Community-Supported Farms Show the Way to Food Security in an Uncertain World | naked capitalism



We've been getting CSA boxes for many years.  Sometimes it's a pain in the butt to figure out what to do with a bunch of, hmm, what are these anyway?  But in general it's great to get organic, in-season produce delivered to the doorstep!  We eat plant based generally.

Nutrition Related Topics

Having had a long journey learning nutrition and having been bamboozled by propaganda... I'm now (at age 65) reaching enlightenment.   



It's pretty clear that whole-food plant based diets are healthy.  Nutrition / diet is not simply weight management.  Body weight is mostly thermodynamics of calories consumed vs. calories expended.  Although there are complications on both sides.  Calories consumed are not all the same, and calories expended depends more on resting metabolism than the calorie expenditure of any specific exercise, although exercise (and weights to build muscle mass) does alter the metabolism, as do a variety of nutrients.  But.  Keto, low carb, paleo etc can produce weight loss.  However they many not be promoting health.



NutritionFacts.org | The Latest Nutrition Related Topics

Dr. Greger has a lot of phenomenal evidence based research.  He is the author of How Not to Die



There is some great documentary propaganda available; e.g. the Game Changers (Presented by James Cameron, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Jackie Chan, Lewis Hamilton, Novak Djokovic and Chris Paul — a revolutionary new film about meat, protein and strength.) and Forks over Knives



Pretty simply, as Michael Pollan puts it, “Eat food. Not too much. Mostly plants.”



Blue Zones has slightly varied diet/nutrition advice (less vegan but mostly plants; pro "Mediterranean diet" including red wine [yay!]) as well as overall lessons from the Buettner journalism covering Okinawa, Nicoya (Costa Rica), Loma Linda, CA (Seventh day Adventist community), Ikaria, Greece, and Sardinia, which have large numbers (per capita) of healthy centenarians.  We are excited because Monterey County is a target of the Blue Zones project.

How to See What the Internet Knows About You (And How to Stop It)

 “The best minds of my generation are thinking about how to make people click ads.”



How to See What the Internet Knows About You (And How to Stop It) 



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The Blog of James Clear

science-based ideas for mastering your habits and living an optimal life. 

some interesting articles helped me with getting better at self discipline.  It's hard to make the annoying or painful near term investment in order to get the long term payoff.  I like to get better at skills, and in general it takes "deliberate practice", which turns out not to be quite as much fun as playing.

America in decay?

Sources of political dysfunction in the US

Fukuyama nails it. Nonpartisan, systemic analysis arguing for why government and administration are in decline.

No real halcyon strawman, though the Forest Service is his key example.

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Making food appear

Munchery - San Francisco Delivery, East Bay Delivery, Peninsula Delivery, and North Bay Delivery | Munchery:

Some low carb &/or organic/healthy meals

http://www.healthychefcreations.com/index.html

these look pretty good

http://www.personalcheftogo.com/menus.asp

most of these look pretty good, some have 30 carbs or so

http://www.magickitchen.com/menu/lowcarb.html

low carb and generally claim to be healthy but I don’t see “organic” plastered all over like the other ones…

Oh, maybe they do, “we try wherever possible to use organic and natural products in our entrees and side dishes.”

And here is some general low carb stuff, not sure how healthy it really is…

http://www26.netrition.com/low_carb_products_page.html

Ma

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Repetition -> musicality

What is music?

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The Big Five

Five dimensional personality test, which seems to be well founded in modern psychology.

I'm a O70-C74-E18-A74-N1 Big Five!!

O is openness to new ideas/experiences
C is conscientiousness
E is extrovert vs introvert
A is agreeableness
N is neuroticism

I scored at the extreme for "calmness" vs neuroticism, no real surprise.

Quite high on openness, conscientiousness and agreeableness and pretty far tilted towards introvert vs extravert.  No one who knows me will be very shocked, though a lot of people call me extraverted.  I do tend to like people, but love my alone time.  I guess I'm a gregarious and not shy introvert, which seems like a good thing to me.

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Tools for finding stuff

Relating to many topics, but especially
Info security

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We’re The Good Guys | Antiwar.com Original Articles

We’re The Good Guys | Antiwar.com Original Articles:

it is hard to be a good guy when you are killing American citizens without any trial and wiping out wedding parties

Professor Michael Brenner provides a partial explanation for how otherwise sensible and moral people can be delusional about America’s role in the world. He describes it as "Ur Imperialism," a process whereby the public comes to believe certain things both about itself and the actions of its government and is resistant to alternative explanations. Brenner does not use the phrase "American Exceptionalism," but that is perhaps another bumper sticker expression that suggests the same mindset.

Brenner describes the core value of imperialism as being "permissive of actions directed at taking charge of others without their approval." He identifies a number of features of the imperialist mindset, to include "a strong sense of superiority," "a predisposition for intervention" that is largely unrelated to the cause of the intervention, comfort "with taking charge of other people," "an absence of empathy," and an inability to accept resistance or rebellion by someone being dominated as anything but "ingratitude." He also notes an inability to put oneself in anyone else’s shoes and cites the example of Iraq, where the involvement of coreligionist and neighbor Iran was denounced as destabilizing while the US dominance was considered somehow both acceptable and appropriate.

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What We’re Reading and Writing » TripleCrisis

What We’re Reading and Writing » TripleCrisis:

The world is experiencing three simultaneous crises in finance, development, and the environment.  A number of economists are questioning the mainstream narratives and analyses of these crises.  Some of us have joined to create the Triple Crisis Blog to contribute to a more open and global dialogue around these three crises. - See more at: http://triplecrisis.com/about/#sthash.lQdCXTtR.dpuf


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A guide to happiness

Best practice: happiness!


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A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom | Farnam Street

A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom | Farnam Street:

Charles Munger, USC Business School, 1994

I’m going to play a minor trick on you today because the subject of my talk is the art of stock picking as a subdivision of the art of worldly wisdom. That enables me to start talking about worldly wisdom—a much broader topic that interests me because I think all too little of it is delivered by modern educational systems, at least in an effective way.

And therefore, the talk is sort of along the lines that some behaviorist psychologists call Grandma’s rule after the wisdom of Grandma when she said that you have to eat the carrots before you get the dessert.

The carrot part of this talk is about the general subject of worldly wisdom which is a pretty good way to start. After all, the theory of modern education is that you need a general education before you specialize. And I think to some extent, before you’re going to be a great stock picker, you need some general education.

So, emphasizing what I sometimes waggishly call remedial worldly wisdom, I’m going to start by waltzing you through a few basic notions.

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